TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:39 AM EST
Kalshi
The EFL League One fixture featuring Milton Keynes against Luton will focus on offensive performance from both sides. Success in this market depends on each team scoring at least one goal within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, highlighting potential scoring trends and defensive lapses.
If Milton Keynes and Luton both score a goal in the Milton Keynes vs Luton EFL League One match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds becoming more accurate as the event approaches, though sportsbook odds may still offer value depending on individual analysis and risk tolerance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus on the likelihood of both Milton Keynes and Luton finding the back of the net.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Milton Keynes and Luton score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Milton Keynes or Luton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups shortly before the match, or any controversies surrounding the game, could also cause movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will be reflected in the price on Kalshi.