TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Millwall and Swansea. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Millwall vs Swansea EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The match must be completed within 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from goal counts. If the match is abandoned, forfeited, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, although past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Millwall vs Swansea match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Millwall vs Swansea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and fair outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Millwall or Swansea would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals will likely move this market.