TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Millwall and Lincoln. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match outcome exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Millwall vs Lincoln EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined goals scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the actual final score from regular time. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering different probabilities than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their risk, while this market is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more probable than sportsbooks suggest, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate prediction or a value opportunity compared to conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect changing expectations as new information becomes available leading up to the match. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to each possible total goals result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Millwall vs Lincoln match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play, as well as any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Millwall or Lincoln would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or significant changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks may also impact the price. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements before the match concludes.