TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Millwall and Derby. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game. It reflects the competitive nature of the match without predicting the exact score.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Millwall vs Derby EFL Championship match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—is assessed after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the cumulative goals meet or exceed any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. The rules consistently apply league-standard timing and scoring conditions across all thresholds, ensuring uniform evaluation regardless of the goal count benchmark. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, total goals scored in the Millwall vs Derby match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Millwall vs Derby match – will be sourced from official match data. The market will then settle based on whether the actual total goals fall into the categories offered, such as over or under 2.5 goals. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Millwall or Derby would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions conducive to high or low scoring, could also impact prices. Even pre-match analysis from prominent football commentators or unexpected team lineup announcements could shift market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely goal total has the potential to move this market.