TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Millwall FC and Lincoln City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Millwall FC" if Millwall FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lincoln City FC" if Lincoln City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Millwall FC and Lincoln City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Millwall FC" if Millwall FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lincoln City FC" if Lincoln City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for dynamic price adjustments as new information emerges and more traders participate. You may find that the odds on Polymarket align with sportsbook odds if there's broad agreement, but differences can appear due to varying opinions or access to unique data. It's common to see prediction markets offer slightly different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and the 24-hour volume indicates the level of activity and interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Millwall FC vs. Lincoln City FC match. The official match records and reports will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket and the results are publicly available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key attacking players, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, would also be closely watched by traders. Pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts, as well as any late-breaking news about tactical changes or starting lineups, could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over another.