TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Millwall FC and Lincoln City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Millwall FC vs. Lincoln City FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Millwall FC and Lincoln City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Millwall FC vs. Lincoln City FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ capabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result. The platform uses a decentralized approach, allowing traders to directly influence the odds based on their own research and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Millwall FC vs. Lincoln City FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will determine the winning shares. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. It's important to note that the official match result is the sole determinant, and any disputes will be resolved based on that publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Millwall or Lincoln City would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and shift the probabilities reflected in the market.