TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Millonarios and Jaguares in the Colombian Liga DIMAYOR. The market will determine whether Millonarios, Jaguares, or neither team (a tie) secures a victory within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result reflects the immediate conclusion of the match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Millonarios vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Millonarios wins, Jaguares wins, or the match ends in a tie. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result within regulation time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders can capitalize on the difference in pricing. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence participants have in each possible scenario for the Millonarios vs Jaguares match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Millonarios vs Jaguares match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and authoritative sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the match can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also have an impact.