TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Millonarios FC vs. Atlético Nacional
Volume:
$161,712
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Millonarios FC and Atlético Nacional scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each team's victory and draw outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's omnibus market structure provides no explicit cancellation clause and would likely treat cancellation as a void or No resolution. This creates conflicting settlement outcomes for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Before the match date, confirm with both platforms their exact cancellation protocols. If you hold positions on both platforms, a cancellation scenario creates a guaranteed loss on one side. Prioritize official DIMAYOR communications and the 2-hour post-match window for official statistics publication.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Draw market includes explicit cancellation clause: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Resolution source is official DIMAYOR statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Atletico Nacional wins, Tie, Millonarios wins). No explicit cancellation language provided. Standard sports betting convention would treat cancellation as void or No across all outcomes, contradicting Polymarket's draw-as-cancellation logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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