TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between Milan and Juventus. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Milan will win, Juventus will win, or the game will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Milan vs Juventus professional Serie A Femminile soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Milan wins, the 'Milan' market resolves to Yes. If Juventus wins, the 'Juventus' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see this market incorporate information and opinions that aren't immediately reflected in traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Milan vs Juventus match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the collective forecast for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Milan vs Juventus match, as declared by the governing football league. The market will determine which outcome – a Milan win, a Juventus win, or a draw – occurred based on the final score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Milan or Juventus would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts predicting adverse playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as could major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the match’s likely outcome.