TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Milan and Inter. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Milan vs Inter Serie A match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment—from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately based on the same match result. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Serie A league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and a different class of bettors than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders attempting to accurately forecast the event outcome. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing opinions on the likelihood of various scenarios unfolding in the Milan vs Inter match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and provide a real-time assessment of the potential outcomes for the Milan vs Inter match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Milan vs Inter match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Milan or Inter would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or stadium conditions might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in expert predictions or media coverage, could also contribute to price changes in this market.