TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Milan and Inter, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Milan vs Inter professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Milan wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that outcome. All resolutions are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Milan vs Inter match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential impacts on the event.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Major news regarding player injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of different spread outcomes have the potential to impact this market significantly.