TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Milan versus Bologna Serie A soccer match. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by whether more than 0.5 goals are scored in the Milan vs Bologna professional Serie A soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Milan vs Bologna professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026. All markets are resolved after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly exclude goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying event — the official full-time score of the match — and are resolved simultaneously based on that single determinant. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event, as the market digests new data and refines its assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Milan vs Bologna match. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The more traders participate, the more efficient the price discovery process becomes, leading to a market price that reflects the collective intelligence of those involved.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Milan vs Bologna match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contract – representing a specific total goals range – corresponds to the actual result of the game. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Milan or Bologna would likely cause significant shifts, as would changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the likelihood of goals. Any major news regarding referee assignments or potential controversies could also introduce volatility into this market, as traders react to the perceived impact on the game's outcome.