TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Milan against Bologna clash in Serie A on October 28, 2026, the event will confirm if both clubs score during the match's regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to, and excluding any goals from extra time or penalties.
If Milan and Bologna both score a goal in the Milan vs Bologna Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly regarding team news or subtle changes in form, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Milan vs Bologna match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score). Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting a belief that at least one team will fail to score. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Milan and Bologna score at least one goal during the match. Official match data, readily available from sports news outlets and official league sources, will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Milan or Bologna would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or late-breaking news about team morale could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring team news and expert analysis leading up to the match will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.