TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Milan will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Atalanta. Currently, Kalshi gives Milan a 98.0% probability of winning, with a 2.0% probability assigned to a tie. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the Milan vs Atalanta game. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 18, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Milan vs Atalanta professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Milan market occurs if Milan wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Atalanta market occurs if Atalanta wins the match within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set lines to encourage balanced betting, while Kalshi allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence level behind these probabilities. A higher volume generally indicates greater conviction and liquidity for a given outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Milan vs Atalanta match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key factors include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Milan or Atalanta, changes in team form based on recent match results, and tactical announcements from the managers. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity—a large influx of volume on a particular outcome—could shift the market price, reflecting a change in collective sentiment about the Milan vs Atalanta match.