TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Mijas and Jaen, focusing solely on the result after regular time. It allows participants to speculate on whether Mijas, Jaen, or neither team (a tie) will win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Mijas vs Jaen professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Mijas win, Jaen win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to regulation time results, ensuring clarity and fairness for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market allows individuals to express their own predictions, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and informed opinion. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer, though both ultimately aim to predict the same outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, provides insight into the potential price movement and the level of agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Mijas vs Jaen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team wins the match in regulation time, excluding any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The official result declared by the governing sports body will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts, updated team statistics, and even weather conditions on the day of the match can also impact trading activity. Significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to the evolving information landscape.