TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Midtjylland and St. Truidense. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the final score exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Midtjylland vs St. Truidense professional Conference League soccer match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined goals scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and resolution hinges strictly on the final score at the end of regular time. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by news, analysis, and shifts in sentiment regarding the Midtjylland vs St. Truidense match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Midtjylland vs St. Truidense match will determine the result. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to establish the final outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct goal total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Midtjylland or St. Truidense would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift the price. Additionally, any tactical announcements from the managers, or updates on team form, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes announced close to kickoff are also likely to cause volatility in this market as traders react to the new information.