TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Conference League soccer match between Midtjylland and St. Truidense. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three markets resolving based on the result of the Midtjylland vs St. Truidense professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Midtjylland' market resolves to Yes if Midtjylland wins within regular time. The 'St. Truidense' market resolves to Yes if St. Truidense wins within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The outcome does not consider extra time or penalty shootouts in determining resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market assigns a different probability to an upset or a closer contest. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team form, injuries, or even public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Midtjylland vs St. Truidense match, as reported by official sports sources. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on the final score and any applicable rules governing the event. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout according to the contract’s value at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Midtjylland or St. Truidense would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also impact the market, as traders react to perceived changes in the likelihood of either team winning.