TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:04h:19m
$
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Midtjylland and Ajax. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or low-scoring based on the combined tally from both teams.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the official 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. For each market, resolution to 'Yes' occurs only if the combined goals from both teams exceed the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. The outcome is strictly tied to regular-time scoring, with no consideration for post-match proceedings. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and resolution depends solely on whether the final goal count surpasses its respective line. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official association with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as new information becomes available. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as the event draws closer and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Midtjylland vs Ajax match will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will be paid out according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Midtjylland or Ajax would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all contribute to shifts in the market. Unexpected lineup announcements are also likely to move this market.