TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Midland and Rafaela. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Midland wins, Rafaela wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Midland vs Rafaela professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Midland wins, the 'Midland' market resolves to Yes; if Rafaela wins, the 'Rafaela' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though this market represents a distinct view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time reflection of market sentiment regarding the Midland vs Rafaela match. This mechanism allows for efficient price discovery and provides a transparent view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Midland vs Rafaela match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will determine the final outcome based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact contract prices. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions could also trigger significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or media coverage, may also play a role, though this market represents an independent assessment. Any development that alters the perceived probability of either team winning could lead to changes in volume and price.