TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Middlesbrough and Charlton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Middlesbrough or Charlton wins the match. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Middlesbrough winning by more than 2.5 goals, Middlesbrough winning by more than 1.5 goals, Charlton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Charlton winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met—meaning the winning team secures a victory with the specified goal margin—the market resolves positively (Yes). The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The outcome hinges exclusively on the official match result as recorded by the governing league, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the Middlesbrough vs Charlton match, though they represent distinct forms of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread represents the difference in points, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting whether the actual result will fall above or below this value. Trading volume and open interest provide insights into the market's activity and confidence levels.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Middlesbrough vs Charlton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing sports authority. The market will then determine payouts based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contracted value. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Middlesbrough or Charlton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team selection or managerial decisions could also shift the market. Any significant public information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths has the potential to move the price of contracts in this market.