TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Middlesbrough and Cardiff. It evaluates whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the potential scoring intensity of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event assesses multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff EFL Championship match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets share the same underlying condition—the total goals scored during the defined match period—and each threshold represents an increasingly stringent requirement for a 'Yes' outcome. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different total goal outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff match. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. As more traders participate, the prices tend to converge towards a collective assessment of the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Middlesbrough or Cardiff would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Even team news announced shortly before kickoff, such as starting lineups, can lead to rapid price adjustments. Public perception and any significant betting patterns observed elsewhere could also contribute to shifts in this market.