TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event considers win conditions for each team and a possible draw as potential outcomes.
The event determines the winner of a professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled between Middlesbrough and Cardiff on October 17, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Middlesbrough secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Middlesbrough' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Cardiff achieves the win, the 'Cardiff' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after the prescribed time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Middlesbrough win, a Cardiff win, or a draw—is the actual result of the game. All outstanding contracts will be settled based on this verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or institutional investors could cause noticeable price swings. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to shifts in this market, though to a lesser extent.