TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Liberty
- Kalshi
Liberty - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 12d:02h:06m
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The market is linked to the college football contest between Middle Tennessee and Liberty, set for November 14, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team wins the game.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains active and resolves based on the final outcome. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time results in a fair price resolution. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time probability assessment of the event's outcome, driven entirely by trader activity and their expectations for the Middle Tennessee vs Liberty game.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Middle Tennessee vs Liberty game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date, as the odds will continue to shift based on new information and trader sentiment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected developments in team performance could all cause the odds to shift. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market is driven by trader behavior, not external opinions. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader trends in college football, could also indirectly impact trading activity and move the market.