TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines a resolution outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For markets where Kansas wins by a specified margin or more, resolution is Yes if Kansas meets or exceeds that margin; otherwise, No. Conversely, markets for Middle Tennessee winning by a specified margin resolve Yes if Middle Tennessee achieves that margin or more. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing expectations about the game’s outcome or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the spread falling within a certain range. As more traders buy contracts indicating a belief that the spread will be a certain way, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi regarding the likely outcome of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range defined by the contracts, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or Kansas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role.