TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the final quarter of a college football game, with different thresholds determining the outcome. Each market has a specific point threshold that must be exceeded for it to resolve positively. The markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time; otherwise, they resolve to a fair price.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Middle Tennessee and Kansas in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of their game on Oct 3, 2026 exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points from the 4th quarter count, and overtime points are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the markets stay open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold established by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds forfeited based on whether their prediction aligns with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Middle Tennessee or Kansas would likely have a significant impact, as this could alter the expected scoring potential. Game-day weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the scoring dynamics. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters – particularly if one team establishes a substantial lead – could shift trader sentiment and cause the market to move. Unexpected coaching decisions or unusual game flow could also play a role.