TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Middle Tennessee and Kansas. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively from the second quarter of play in the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Kansas wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin—for example, over 23.5, 19.5, 16.5, and so on—the corresponding "Yes" outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Middle Tennessee wins the second quarter by more than the designated margin—such as over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, etc.—the respective market resolves to "Yes." All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding the full-game result. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official second-quarter outcome. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty of the unplayed quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook offerings. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as more information becomes available, though sportsbook odds are often more readily available to the public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome for the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas second quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the second quarter of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will be worth 100, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted source, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities and cause the price to fluctuate. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere may also play a role.