TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a college football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcome depends solely on the official game result and adheres to specific timing rules if the game is postponed.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 41.5 points); if the combined second-half points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, theoretically leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts. Currently, the price indicates the probability that the total points scored in the second half will exceed 13.5. A higher price suggests a greater belief that the 'Over' will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders buy and sell contracts, reflecting their evolving expectations. The price is influenced by factors like team performance, injuries, and even public sentiment, all aggregated through the trading activity on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the second half of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas basketball game will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether that total is greater than or less than 13.5 points. The final score will be sourced from official game records to determine the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Middle Tennessee or Kansas would likely cause movement, as would updates on team strategies or changes in starting lineups. Live game performance in the first half could also influence trading activity, with a high-scoring first half potentially driving up the price of the 'Over' contracts. Unexpected weather conditions, although less likely for an indoor basketball game, could also play a minor role. Overall game momentum and scoring trends will be closely watched by traders.