TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Middle Tennessee or Kansas in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For markets where Kansas must win by a specified margin, the outcome resolves to Yes only if Kansas's second-half point differential exceeds the stated threshold. Conversely, for markets where Middle Tennessee must win by a specified margin, the outcome resolves to Yes only if Middle Tennessee's second-half point differential exceeds the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can help you identify potential value or areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in betting trends, will also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.