TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you might find that the implied probability of an event happening in this market differs from what sportsbooks are offering, potentially revealing insights into public sentiment and information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential total score for the first quarter of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to price discovery. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Middle Tennessee vs Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the actual total points scored will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or account for losses following the official resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Middle Tennessee or Kansas would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high or low-scoring game, could also impact prices. Public perception, fueled by expert analysis or social media trends, can also shift the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention and influence trading volume in this market.