TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether the total points scored in the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International college football game will exceed 25.5. Currently, the “Full Game: Over 25.5 points scored” outcome is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 21, 2026.
The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific total points threshold that must be exceeded by the combined score of both teams in the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International college football game scheduled for October 20, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' the cumulative points scored by both teams must surpass the stated threshold—for example, over 25.5 points, over 28.5 points, and so on, up to over 67.5 points. All markets share a common secondary rule governing game postponements: if the game is delayed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. However, if the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all affected markets will resolve to a 'fair price,' meaning a settlement reflecting the most accurate assessment of the outcome under these unforeseen circumstances. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving speculative positions regardless of scheduling changes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the total points will be high, they will buy contracts representing higher totals, driving up the price of those contracts and lowering the price of contracts representing lower totals.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total points scored. Any contracts for a different total will settle to zero. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or FIU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the market's price.