TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Middle Tennessee and Florida International on October 20th. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and team/player statistics. There are a large number of markets offered, covering many different aspects of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Middle Tennessee and Florida International, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tennessee win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida International" if Florida International win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Middle Tennessee and Florida International, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tennessee win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida International" if Florida International win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, such as those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on real-time trading volume, whereas sportsbooks may adjust less frequently.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Middle Tennessee vs. FIU game. Trading mechanisms also vary; Polymarket uses a continuous double auction, while Predict may employ different order types or liquidity pools. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform impacts price discovery, and currently, the volume is $597,135. These factors contribute to the observed differences in how traders assess the probabilities of various outcomes in this market.