TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Florida International will win its college football game against Middle Tennessee. Currently, Kalshi gives Florida International a 54.0% probability of winning, while Middle Tennessee is at 46.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International game originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 20, 2026, as the result of that fixture will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International college football game scheduled for October 20, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves using the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly predicting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any potential delays or changes.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or Florida International teams would likely impact the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to team dynamics or player availability will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.