TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team's performance, allowing participants to speculate on whether the team will exceed that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Michigan and Rutgers in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores over the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Michigan-Rutgers team total will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final combined score of both the Michigan and Rutgers teams will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Michigan or Rutgers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical models, could lead to adjustments in the price. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are other potential catalysts.