TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Michigan and Rutgers. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the fourth quarter of the Michigan vs. Rutgers college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, excluding overtime. If Rutgers scores more points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the Rutgers outcome. If Michigan scores more points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the Michigan outcome. If neither team scores more points—or if both teams score the same number of points—the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. For all outcomes, only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play are considered; overtime points are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy contracts, driving up the price and potentially creating a divergence. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Michigan vs Rutgers game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is winning at the end of the 4th quarter of the Michigan vs Rutgers game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan or Rutgers team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or coaching decisions are also likely to impact the price of contracts in this market, as traders adjust their predictions.