TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between Michigan and Rutgers. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Michigan vs Rutgers college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points) that the combined third-quarter score must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can lead to discrepancies, where the implied probability from this market differs from the implied probability calculated from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, the total score in the 3rd quarter falling within a certain range. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential outcomes for the Michigan vs Rutgers game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the 3rd quarter of the Michigan vs Rutgers game, as officially recorded by the governing sports organization, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total score range will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Michigan or Rutgers teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or prominent sports figures offering strong opinions on the expected 3rd quarter score could move this market.