TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Michigan and Rutgers. Outcomes are determined solely by the score at halftime, with various thresholds defining different possible results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the first-half point differential of the Michigan vs Rutgers college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead exceeds the designated point margin by at least one point during the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the actual halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at fair prices. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Any discrepancies between the two may indicate where the crowd believes sportsbooks have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first-half spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether Michigan wins by more than the spread, or not. Traders holding contracts predicting the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan or Rutgers teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls and analyst predictions, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.