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OPEN INTEREST:
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419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Michigan
- Kalshi
Michigan - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 11d:19h:07m
$
This event group covers the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets include predictions on the winner, point spreads, and over/under totals for the game and various periods within it, as well as team totals.
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn’t yet widely available. However, sportsbooks benefit from established brand recognition and ease of access, impacting their volume. Both offer valuable perspectives, but this market provides a unique signal based on incentivized forecasting.
Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing interpretations of the same data. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also influence price discovery. Furthermore, liquidity – the volume of trading activity – can be unevenly distributed between the two venues, causing temporary price discrepancies. These differences are normal and contribute to the overall robustness of the aggregated prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Michigan vs. Oregon game, as officially reported by a trusted sports source, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the game concludes and the results are confirmed. The market's resolution will provide a clear indication of the collective prediction accuracy regarding the game’s final score.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 14, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Michigan or Oregon teams would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even substantial news regarding team morale could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information regarding player availability or strategic adjustments could lead to price movements as traders react to the evolving landscape surrounding the Michigan vs. Oregon game.