TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:43 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Michigan vs. Minnesota.
Exact margin markets for Michigan vs. Minnesota.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible exact margin of victory. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market depth, indicated by the buy and sell orders, shows the level of conviction behind each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Michigan-Minnesota football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact margin of victory, calculated as the difference between the final scores of the two teams, will be used to determine the winning contract. No further action will be required from traders once the game concludes and the result is officially reported. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the margin.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Michigan or Minnesota would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades on Polymarket themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, especially if they suggest informed betting activity.