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$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Michigan vs Minnesota: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Michigan vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$19,924

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 2:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,648
N/A
N/A
$2,519
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,743
N/A
N/A
$7,157
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,333
N/A
N/A
$2,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,705
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$1,442
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
$472
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Michigan and Minnesota. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines the outcome.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by either Michigan or Minnesota exclusively during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these resolutions, emphasizing the importance of in-quarter performance over the full game outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Michigan-Minnesota football spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5,134. The total volume traded on this market is $19,924. This allows traders to see how confidence in various outcomes is changing and gauge the overall interest in the Michigan-Minnesota game’s third quarter performance.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, these markets tend to converge as new information becomes available, but initial discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to breaking news or late-developing insights than traditional sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Michigan versus Minnesota football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move this market.