TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal modeling. However, sportsbook odds often reflect public perception and can be influenced by promotional offers or biases. It’s common to see discrepancies between this market and sportsbook lines, particularly in the early stages of trading, as different factors influence each.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Michigan-Minnesota football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official results will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur shortly after the game concludes, allowing traders to receive their payouts based on the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Key injuries to star players on either team, changes in weather forecasts, or significant news regarding team strategy could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching decisions would also likely move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though prediction markets often correct for biases present in those sources. Any developments impacting the perceived competitiveness of the Michigan-Minnesota football game could trigger trading activity.