TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
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2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Wisconsin, scheduled for October 3 at 12:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Wisconsin, scheduled for October 3 at 12:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe Michigan State will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Michigan State vs. Wisconsin game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of the payout depends on the platform’s processing procedures.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant team performance shifts would likely cause price movements. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by trader beliefs, not external opinions. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or changes in betting trends at sportsbooks, could also lead to shifts in the price of shares.