TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Michigan State vs. UCLA.
Exact margin markets for Michigan State vs. UCLA.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different point differentials in the Michigan State-UCLA game. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available data, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential between Michigan State and UCLA will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final margin and their share holdings.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Michigan State or UCLA would likely cause substantial shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant updates from team practices or pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway market sentiment and lead to price adjustments before Oct 24, 2026.