TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Michigan State vs. Michigan
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Michigan State vs. Michigan?

Total volume:
$2,751
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$135,149
673%
Open interest:
$2,751
76%

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 05d:02h:51m

Michigan wins

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 84¢ buys you 119 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $119 | Net Profit: $19 Multiplier: 1.19x | ROI: 19% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

Trade
84%
Yes 84¢No 18¢
2¢
N/A
$1,208
0%
N/A
$1,208
5d 2h 51m
Active
kalshi

Michigan St.

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$1,543
0%
N/A
$1,543
5d 2h 51m
Active
polymarket

Michigan State vs. Michigan

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 84¢
3¢
$11,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
predict

Michigan State vs. Michigan

Trade
N/A
N/A
28¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 51m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
Avg: 10.7¢Max: 28¢
polymarket

Spread -20.5

Trade
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
99%
49%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
10%
88%
Yes 18¢No 99¢
17¢
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
3%
96%
Yes 6¢No 99.9¢
5.9¢
$3,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
5%
94%
Yes 8¢No 98¢
6¢
$5,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
7%
43%
Yes 12¢No 98¢
10¢
$5,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
8%
42%
Yes 14¢No 99¢
13¢
$3,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
9%
90%
Yes 16¢No 98¢
14¢
$2,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
10%
90%
Yes 18¢No 98¢
16¢
$3,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
12%
87%
Yes 22¢No 98¢
20¢
$3,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
18%
32%
Yes 24¢No 88¢
12¢
$5,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 99¢
99¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
79%
29%
Yes 84¢No 26¢
10¢
$5,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
77%
27%
Yes 84¢No 30¢
14¢
$6,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
73%
28%
Yes 80¢No 35¢
15¢
$2,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
72%
28%
Yes 79¢No 36¢
15¢
$3,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
69%
18%
Yes 78¢No 40¢
18¢
$5,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 51m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 209

Description

This prediction group centers around the outcome of the college football game between Michigan State and Michigan, scheduled for November 7th. Markets cover the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals, and various statistical occurrences within the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The win condition resolution logic differs between Polymarket and Kalshi, potentially leading to both markets resolving positively.Hero tip: Avoid the direct win market on Kalshi due to its ambiguous resolution criteria. Focus on spread, over/under, or statistical markets for more reliable predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Michigan State if they win, Michigan if they win, 50/50 on a tie. Includes overtime. "This market will resolve to 'Michigan State' if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to 'Michigan' if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. This is ambiguous and doesn't specify what happens in a tie. "If Michigan wins the Michigan St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. wins the Michigan St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Michigan, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Michigan vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Michigan wins, the Michigan market resolves to Yes, and the Michigan State market resolves to No. Conversely, if Michigan State wins, the Michigan State market resolves to Yes, and the Michigan market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each other and reflect the victory of either team as the sole determinant of resolution.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Michigan, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Michigan football rivalry. Currently, the aggregate volume across both platforms is $2,751, with $2,751 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive look at predictions surrounding the annual contest between Michigan State and Michigan. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a single point of reference for the probability of various outcomes in this highly anticipated event, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. The current market suggests a probability distribution across potential results in the Michigan football rivalry.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of informed traders. This market benefits from the diverse knowledge and analysis of its participants, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and widely publicized, influencing initial perceptions. The difference between these odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on discrepancies between the two.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the final score of the Michigan State versus Michigan football game. Trading will conclude prior to the game's completion, allowing participants to realize their positions based on the predicted winner. The market’s resolution will reflect the officially recorded outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders involved. The final score will be the deciding factor.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries on either team would likely cause shifts in probabilities, as would any major coaching changes or unexpected team news. Weather forecasts, particularly if severe conditions are predicted, could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media trends, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team’s strengths and weaknesses have the potential to move the market before Nov 8, 2026.