TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of UCLA and Michigan State in their upcoming college football game. Each market evaluates whether a team reaches specific point thresholds, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of UCLA and Michigan State in the game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market where the specified team scores strictly more than the listed threshold (e.g., 'over X points'), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their beliefs, leading to probabilities that may be more accurate, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as traders react to news and events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are a direct result of supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of expectations for the Michigan State and UCLA game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Michigan State versus UCLA game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scorekeeping data from the game. The platform will then determine which contracts settle in the money based on whether the actual team totals align with the predictions made by traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Michigan State or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift expectations. Finally, general public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can all contribute to fluctuations in this market.