TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players during a college football game between Michigan State and UCLA. It focuses specifically on passes that result in touchdowns, excluding those from fumble recoveries or two-point attempts. The outcome depends on whether either team reaches certain thresholds of such scoring plays.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by either Michigan State or UCLA in their game scheduled for October 24, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is counted only when a player catches the ball and scores without being involved in a fumble recovery by another player; self-recovered fumbles that result in a score still count. Successful two-point conversions are excluded from all tallies. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within that window, all markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and reflect changing expectations about the Michigan State vs UCLA game. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be determined by which team(s) are officially recorded as receiving touchdowns during the Michigan State vs UCLA football game. Official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. The platform will then settle the contracts based on whether the actual outcome matches the contracts purchased by traders. The outcome will be based on official game records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Michigan State or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a strong passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and affect the prices in this market.