TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Michigan St. vs UCLA: 1st Half Winner
kalshi

What is the result of Michigan St. vs UCLA?

Volume:
$92,310

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 5:26 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,921
N/A
N/A
$27,591
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan St.

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,022
N/A
N/A
$36,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,367
N/A
N/A
$5,090
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Michigan State and UCLA. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on who holds the advantage at halftime.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Michigan State vs. UCLA college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If either Michigan State or UCLA scores more points in the first half, the respective market for that team resolves to Yes. If the teams are tied at halftime, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution, which will instead be based on the official result once the game begins. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Points scored after halftime are irrelevant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Michigan State vs UCLA game tracks the current odds of each team winning the first half, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $81,829, and the total volume traded to date, which is $92,310. This allows you to see how much activity there has been and gauge market sentiment regarding the first half winner. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on this contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to breaking news or late-developing insights than traditional sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and significant discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and shifting sentiment surrounding the Michigan State vs UCLA game.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first half winner of the Michigan State vs UCLA game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan State or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role in how traders adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market before Oct 24, 2026.