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$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Michigan St. vs UCLA: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Michigan St. vs UCLA?

Volume:
$240,429

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 5:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,710
N/A
N/A
$17,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,808
N/A
N/A
$7,298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,369
N/A
N/A
$11,652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 4.5 points

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,783
N/A
N/A
$7,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,315
N/A
N/A
$71,931
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,407
N/A
N/A
$12,372
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,873
N/A
N/A
$10,387
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,295
N/A
N/A
$10,477
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,753
N/A
N/A
$6,332
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,385
N/A
N/A
$3,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,284
N/A
N/A
$2,813
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 13.5 points

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,483
N/A
N/A
$2,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,374
N/A
N/A
$949
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
$1,045
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,075
N/A
N/A
$845
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
$694
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
$824
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$661
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Bettors can choose from various thresholds to speculate on whether one team will establish a significant lead early in the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Michigan St. vs UCLA college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold: if UCLA wins by exceeding the stated margin, the corresponding 'UCLA wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Michigan St. wins by exceeding its threshold, that market resolves to Yes. Markets are evaluated independently, meaning multiple could resolve as Yes depending on the outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final first-half result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, typically reflecting the probability of the stated outcome had the game been played as scheduled. No affiliation with the NCAA is implied or claimed in these rules.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Michigan State vs UCLA spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $238,608. Total volume for this market is $240,429. This allows you to see how much activity there is and how traders are positioning themselves on the outcome of the first half spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the first half.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, giving you insight into the level of demand and supply for each spread. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual first-half spread of the Michigan State vs UCLA game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college basketball. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan State or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, can also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or weather conditions could shift expectations. Even the release of updated statistics or performance metrics could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities.