TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Michigan over 13.5 points
- Kalshi
Michigan over 13.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:10h:32m
$
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that either team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes reflect whether the designated team scores above or below the stated point totals.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Michigan St. vs Michigan college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the point thresholds set in individual markets.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one side. If a large number of people believe a certain team will exceed their total, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd's expectations differ from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—provides insight into the potential for price movement. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official team totals from the Michigan vs Michigan State football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The final scores will be sourced from official game statistics and confirmed through established sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team totals will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Michigan or Michigan State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market. Even significant public sentiment shifts, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and move the price of contracts in this market.