TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same competitive Valorant match, the first map serves as an early indicator of team performance. The result of this map will influence the strategies and pressures faced by both teams moving forward in the tournament.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the specified VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, the market resolves to the fair market price. Results are determined by the official governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different risk profiles and cater to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome. A higher volume suggests greater confidence in the predicted result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 1 in the MIBR Female versus FlyQuest RED CS2 match will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against official match results to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even last-minute roster changes could all shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early map control or key player eliminations, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Analyst opinions and public discussions surrounding the teams' chances could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Any major upset during the event could also cause a large shift in this market.