TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Two women's esports teams compete in a strategic shooting game during a championship event. The outcome determines which team secures victory on the second map of their match, showcasing skill and strategy under pressure.
If MIBR Female wins map 2 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: MIBR Female vs. FENNEL Female Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If FENNEL Female wins map 2 in the VCT Game Changers Championship 2026: MIBR Female vs. FENNEL Female Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities, although market participants may have informational advantages or biases. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, varying risk appetites, and the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. The current price indicates what percentage of the event outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the MIBR Female versus FENNEL Female CS2 match. The winning team of Map 2 will determine the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available and used to settle all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, strategic changes, or even unexpected technical issues during the match could significantly impact trader sentiment. Strong performances by either MIBR Female or FENNEL Female in preceding matches, or even during the first map of the series, could shift expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in similar CS2 female tournaments or the release of updated team statistics could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.